Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.182113 0.203401 0.225492 0.250074 0.276608 0.304333 0.335438
2025-01-12 0.152788 0.181686 0.213033 0.249380 0.290181 0.334384 0.385707
2025-01-19 0.130495 0.164077 0.201948 0.247431 0.300179 0.359033 0.429260
2025-01-26 0.115205 0.152335 0.195681 0.249358 0.313361 0.386553 0.475873
2025-02-02 0.105616 0.146066 0.194748 0.256647 0.332209 0.420412 0.530057
2025-02-09 0.094752 0.136991 0.189363 0.257663 0.342913 0.444343 0.572589
2025-02-16 0.086837 0.130802 0.186816 0.261548 0.356674 0.471759 0.619416
2025-02-23 0.081959 0.128058 0.188220 0.270091 0.376079 0.506133 0.675063
2025-03-02 0.073606 0.119812 0.181742 0.267855 0.381379 0.522796 0.708888
2025-03-09 0.067140 0.113605 0.177452 0.268019 0.389405 0.542682 0.746739
2025-03-16 0.060888 0.107143 0.172308 0.266578 0.394979 0.559255 0.780398
2025-03-23 0.057254 0.104235 0.171859 0.271328 0.408656 0.586278 0.827592
2025-03-30 0.052454 0.099332 0.168487 0.272146 0.417440 0.607651 0.868694
2025-04-06 0.047974 0.094537 0.164938 0.272444 0.425372 0.627931 0.908628
2025-04-13 0.043470 0.089291 0.160351 0.270932 0.430586 0.644532 0.943870
2025-04-20 0.040343 0.086048 0.158561 0.273311 0.441153 0.668360 0.988898
2025-04-27 0.038763 0.085314 0.160569 0.281295 0.459744 0.703283 1.049143
2025-05-04 0.035840 0.081943 0.158179 0.282482 0.468511 0.724824 1.091642
2025-05-11 0.033782 0.079945 0.157844 0.286698 0.481646 0.752484 1.142691
2025-05-18 0.032838 0.079929 0.160709 0.295878 0.502159 0.790629 1.208434
2025-05-25 0.029834 0.075712 0.156328 0.293502 0.505467 0.804686 1.241323
2025-06-01 0.027533 0.072639 0.153678 0.293687 0.512477 0.823939 1.281489
2025-06-08 0.025145 0.069148 0.150082 0.292148 0.516749 0.839260 1.316286